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Trump's chosen official for job statistics and inflation rates infuses political bias into numerical data

U.S. jobs and inflation data's agency head is typically a seasoned professional in statistical work, maintaining a low public profile.

Contestee for Trump's employment and inflation figures position infuses politics into numerical...
Contestee for Trump's employment and inflation figures position infuses politics into numerical data

Trump's chosen official for job statistics and inflation rates infuses political bias into numerical data

E.J. Antoni's nomination as commissioner of the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has faced criticism for potential politicization of the agency’s data and methods. Antoni, a chief economist at the conservative Heritage Foundation, has been known for his harsh criticisms of the BLS’s existing data collection and reporting practices.

Controversial Economic Views

Antoni's controversial economic views include questioning the validity of BLS data, such as health insurance figures, and criticizing low response rates and methodology at the BLS. He has also suggested sweeping reforms or radical changes to data collection methods, such as temporarily suspending the monthly jobs report, a critical economic indicator.

Antoni's strong political alignment with the conservative Heritage Foundation and participation in the far-right Project 2025 blueprint have also raised concerns about his partisan stance on economic and governmental data presentation.

Critics and Supporters

Critics, including former Obama administration economic advisor Jason Furman, call Antoni an "extreme partisan" lacking relevant expertise for the BLS commissioner role. Supporters argue that Antoni identifies real problems in BLS data collection and aims to restore "honest and accurate" reporting, though this view is contested.

William Beach, a former BLS commissioner, is confident that BLS procedures are strong enough to prevent political meddling, and that the commissioner does not affect, collect, massage, or organize the data.

Impact on BLS Data

The potential politicization of the BLS data, traditionally a nonpartisan, data-driven agency, has raised concerns among economists and investors. The monthly employment reports are probably the most-watched economic data on Wall Street, and can frequently cause swings in stock prices. The stock market often reacts to the monthly employment reports, but there is room for improvement in the data's accuracy.

The recent firing of Erika McEntarfer, the then-BLS chair, after a jobs report on Aug 1 showed hiring had weakened and was much lower than previously reported, has further fuelled concerns about the politicization of BLS data.

Conclusion

In summary, Antoni’s nomination is controversial due to his partisan background, public disparagement of BLS data, and proposals that could fundamentally change how the agency operates, raising fears of politicization of official labor statistics. His economic views underscore skepticism about established BLS methodologies and hint at potential overhaul proposals aligned with conservative agendas. The impact of his nomination on the accuracy and reliability of BLS data remains to be seen.

[1] The Washington Post [2] Bloomberg [3] The Hill [4] Politico

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