Stock market turbulence: Goldman Sachs reduces estimated S&P 500 benchmark once more
Are US stocks worth investing in 2025? As Goldman Sachs slashes its S&P 500 price target once again, investors are left in doubt.
The vibe ain't so hot right now - especially for ol' US stocks. They used to be the here-and-now on international exchanges, but many factors got 'em down now. We're talkin' geopolitical uncertainties, economic issues like President Trump's trade tariffs, and the growing AI competition from China.
This year, the S&P 500's been rollin' rough, sittin' around five percent lower since the start of the year. Goldman Sachs ain't shyer about showin' it either - they've been cuttin' their price target for the US benchmark index, accordin' to a new report from "Bloomberg." In March, they dropped their year-end forecast from 6,500 to 6,200 points, and now? New correction, mate: The new price target sits at just 5,700 points,meaning we're lookin' at only about a two percent annual gain from the current level.
Goldman Sachs sees increased recession risk and trade tariff risks
Why be all sunshine and rainbows? Goldman Sachs points to increased risk of a US recession and persistent uncertainties around new or existing trade tariffs as major burdens.
David Kostin, US chief strategist at Goldman Sachs, ain't pullin' any punches: "I continue to recommend that investors look for improvements in growth prospects, stronger market price asymmetries, or weaker positioning before trying to capture a market low."
Other folks in the market ain't much happier, neither. Michael Wilson, chief strategist at Morgan Stanley, showed some optimism sayeth the Tarot, hintin' that the worst might be over. But according to a new assessment from Monday, he's reversed course: "Economic risks could brake the upward movement of the S&P 500." The latest tariff announcements may have added transparency, but Wilson considers it the beginning of further negotiations, not a sustainable trend reversal.
Conclusion
The vibes on US exchanges remain tense, and the current forecasts, especially from Goldman Sachs, serve as a clear warning signal. For those already invested in US stocks or considerin' an entry, keep a close eye on the economic development and geopolitical risks - and don't count on a quick market recovery in the short term.
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The current economic environment, as indicated by Goldman Sachs' lowered S&P 500 price target, suggests a challenging outlook for stock-market investing in 2025. Increased recession risk and ongoing trade tariff concerns are weighing heavily on the US stock-market, causing uncertainty and potential volatility in the finance industry.