Revised forecasts for 2010's outcomes
Hot Off The Press: Shaping the World in 2025: A Report
Welcome to our insights on what's brewing in the world of numbers, facts, and trends you'll be grappling with in 2025. Here's the scoop:
Economic Tug-of-War
- The global economy, according to the World Bank, is slowing down, with a projected GDP growth rate of only 2.3% for 2025 - the slowest growth since 2008, save for recessions[4][5]. The OECD expects this growth to dip from 3.3% in 2024 to 2.9% in 2025 and further to 2.6% for the entire 2025, marking a particularly rough growth period for economies like the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and China[3].
- Inflation is more stubborn than forecasted in OECD countries, with inflation rates anticipated to hit 4.2% in 2025, staying high at 3.2% in 2026[3]. Investment levels remain low due to the lingering effects of the 2008 financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic, resulting in reduced capital accumulation, strained housing markets, and deteriorated public infrastructure[3]. Growth projections have been slashed for approximately 70% of the economies across all income brackets and regions[5].
Barriers to Trade and Policy Shift
The global outlook is marked by a rise in trade barriers and a thick fog of policy uncertainty that's dragging down growth projections[3][5]. Global trade expansion has slowed down from a 5% annual average growth rate in the 2000s to less than 3% in the 2020s[5].
Modern Consumer Behavior
- The consumer behavior landscape is undergoing significant transformations, as indicated by McKinsey’s 2025 report[2]. We'll keep you posted on the specifics as we dig deeper.
Data Center Boom
- Demand for digital infrastructure is strong, as evidenced by the tightening data center markets worldwide, with an average vacancy rate for data centers dropping to 6.6% early in 2025[1]. Leading cities in this trend include Paris.
Developing Economies on the Decline
- Economies outside of Asia are facing a scenario dubbed the "development-free zone." Their growth rates have decreased from 6% annually during the 2000s to less than 4% in the 2020s, mirroring the slowdown in global trade and investment, along with increased debt burdens[5].
Wrap-up:
The year 2025 is forecasted to bring slower global economic growth, persistent inflationary concerns, stagnating investment, increased trade barriers, and shifts in consumer and infrastructure trends. Developing countries face a developing stalemate, while the demand for digital infrastructure surges. Navigating these challenges will test the mettle of policymakers and businesses alike as they strive to reignite growth[1][2][3][4][5].
- The sluggish global economy in 2025, as predicted by the World Bank, could potentially influence the investment strategies of religious organizations, especially those with significant financial resources, in their methods of contributing to development projects.
- Immigration policies could play a crucial role in attracting skilled workers, essential for boosting investment and stimulating economic growth, as nations grapple with the economic challenges of 2025, which include persistent inflation, stagnating investment, and increased trade barriers.
- With the demand for digital infrastructure surging in 2025, as indicated by tightening data center markets worldwide, there might be opportunities for businesses, particularly those specializing in data management and technology, to invest and expand their services in growing markets like Paris.
