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Germans ditch cow’s milk as plant-based alternatives surge in popularity

A tax loophole makes dairy cheaper—but 61% of Germans want fairness. Could equalizing milk taxes reshape the nation’s grocery carts?

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The image shows a bar chart depicting the number of gasoline and diesel taxes in the United States. The chart is accompanied by text that provides further information about the data.

Germans ditch cow’s milk as plant-based alternatives surge in popularity

Germans are drinking less cow’s milk than ever before. In 2024, the average person consumed just 46.2kg—down 15.5% from a decade ago. Meanwhile, demand for plant-based alternatives like oat milk is rising, with nearly €600 million spent on them last year alone.

Oat milk leads the market, with 48% of respondents drinking it regularly. Fortified plant-based options are especially popular, as 44% of Germans say they would pay extra for added nutrients. Despite this interest, price remains a major barrier for many buyers.

Currently, plant-based milk faces a 19% VAT rate—almost three times the 7% charged on cow’s milk. This difference has sparked calls for change. A petition backed by retailers like REWE and brands such as Oatly, vly, and Berief is pushing the government to equalise the tax. Their argument is simple: lower costs could encourage more people to switch to plant-based options like oat milk.

Public support for the idea is strong. Surveys show 61% of Germans back a tax cut on plant-based milk. Even among those who don’t currently buy it, 17% say a reduced rate would persuade them to try. Yet awareness of the existing dairy tax break remains low—only 34% know cow’s milk is taxed at a lower rate.

The shift away from dairy is clear, with plant-based milk now the second-largest vegan product category in Germany. If the tax rate drops, industry experts expect even more consumers to make the switch to plant-based options like oat milk. For now, the debate continues over whether pricing should reflect changing habits.

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