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The evolution of pre-owned automobile sales: Will residual values recover by the year 2025?

Cookies utilized by Autovista24 to enhance user experience
Cookies utilized by Autovista24 to enhance user experience

Cookies used by Autovista24 to enhance user experience

### Impact of Trade Tensions, EV Volumes, and AI on the Used-Car Retail Market

The used-car retail market in 2025 is experiencing a significant transformation due to trade tensions, rising volumes of battery-electric vehicles (EVs), and the integration of artificial intelligence (AI).

#### Trade Tensions and Tariffs

Trade tensions, particularly tariffs, are having a notable impact on the used-car market. The introduction of a 25% tariff on new imported vehicles and parts in April 2025 has led to a sharp increase in new-car prices, averaging over $48,000 in the US. This price hike is pushing many buyers towards more affordable used vehicles, thereby increasing demand and prices in the used market [1][3].

#### Battery-Electric Vehicles (EVs)

As EV adoption grows, especially among younger, environmentally conscious consumers, the used car market is adapting. EVs and hybrids are gaining buyer preference, but used EV prices may depreciate differently compared to internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. ICE vehicles face sharper depreciation as EVs become more prevalent, creating a shift in used-car valuation dynamics [1].

#### Artificial Intelligence (AI)

AI is playing a crucial role in the digitalization of the used-car buying process. Online platforms, powered by AI for virtual inspections, pricing transparency, and vehicle history analysis, are reshaping retail experiences. Dealerships are compelled to adopt these technologies for competitive pricing and enhanced customer engagement [1][2].

#### Residual Values and New-Car Prices

Residual values of used cars have been increasing recently, with average used car prices rising approximately 10% above pre-pandemic levels due to strong demand and supply constraints. This trend is evident in markets such as the UAE and the US, where used car prices are notably elevated compared to past years [2][3]. The high new-car list prices, fueled by tariffs and supply chain disruptions, have constrained new car availability, making new vehicles less accessible. This scarcity supports stronger used-car prices and residual values, as buyers seek alternatives [1][3][4].

However, there are signs that used car prices are beginning to plateau or even decline slightly in mid-2025, following earlier sharp increases. This may indicate a gradual normalization as supply chains stabilize and new-car production improves [5].

#### Major New Automotive Models Announced Recently

The search results did not provide detailed information on specific new car models announced recently. However, given the broader industry trends, it is likely that more battery-electric vehicle models and EV variants from both established automakers and startups are being launched to meet growing demand and regulatory pressures.

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**Summary Table: Impact Factors on Used-Car Retail Market 2025**

| Factor | Current Impact | Future Outlook | |------------------------|------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------| | Trade Tensions (Tariffs) | New car prices rise sharply → ↑ demand for used | May sustain higher used-car prices long-term | | Battery-Electric Vehicles| Growing EV volumes shift demand & depreciation patterns | Increasing share of EVs in used market; ICE depreciation steeper | | Artificial Intelligence | Enhanced digital buying platforms & pricing transparency | AI-driven efficiency and consumer experience improvements | | Residual Values | Elevated due to supply constraints & demand | Potential stabilization or slight decline as supply improves | | New-Car Prices & Supply | High prices and constrained supply support used car values | Supply chain recovery may ease market pressures |

In conclusion, trade tensions and tariffs are currently pushing new car prices up, boosting demand and residual values in used-car retail. The rising prevalence of EVs is shifting consumer preferences and vehicle depreciation patterns. AI is modernizing the retail experience, making it more digital and data-driven. Residual values have risen significantly but may stabilize as supply and demand equilibrate. The automotive industry continues to launch new EV models in response to these evolving market dynamics.

The used-car retail market in 2025 is not only adapting to the growing interest in battery-electric vehicles (EVs) but also integrating artificial intelligence (AI) to modernize the buying process, as seen in online platforms providing virtual inspections and pricing transparency. This technological advancement is placing pressure on dealerships to adopt these technologies in order to stay competitive in pricing and customer engagement.

As the automotive industry introduces more battery-electric vehicle models in response to regulatory pressures and growing demand, used EV prices may depreciate differently compared to internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. This shift in used-car valuation dynamics is anticipated due to the unique characteristics of EVs and the changing preferences among consumers.

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