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Arthur Hayes Bets Big on Bitcoin, Gold, and Defense Stocks Amid Inflation Fears

A bold bet on Bitcoin, privacy coins, and hard assets reveals Hayes' playbook for surviving economic chaos. Will his strategy outlast the storm?

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1 min read
The image shows a white background with a pie chart depicting the crypto-currency market...
The image shows a white background with a pie chart depicting the crypto-currency market capitalizations in 2016. The chart is divided into sections, each representing a different type of cryptocurrency, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Litecoin. The text accompanying the chart provides further details about the capitalizations.

Arthur Hayes Bets Big on Bitcoin, Gold, and Defense Stocks Amid Inflation Fears

Arthur Hayes has structured his investment portfolio around expectations of lasting inflation and geopolitical instability. His holdings span cryptocurrurrencies, commodities, and defense-related stocks, all chosen to hedge against economic uncertainty and rising tensions.

The portfolio also reflects a bet on an AI-driven credit crisis, where central banks may resort to money printing, pushing up hard assets like gold and Bitcoin.

Hayes keeps his crypto exposure narrow, holding only four assets: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Zcash (ZEC), and HYPE. Since the third quarter of 2025, these positions have remained unchanged, though he has been actively increasing his ZEC stake. He views ZEC as a 'privacy race beta,' positioning it as a key part of his strategy for a potential financial crisis triggered by AI-driven credit expansion.

Beyond digital assets, his equity investments focus on resource-heavy sectors. He owns shares in gold, silver, copper, and uranium miners, alongside major oil companies and Latin American energy firms. These picks aim to benefit from both rising commodity prices and steady global fuel demand.

Defense contractors also feature in his portfolio, driven by expanding military budgets in multiple regions. Physical gold remains a core holding, serving as direct protection against currency devaluation. The overall mix suggests Hayes is preparing for a scenario where inflation persists, geopolitical risks escalate, and traditional financial systems face stress.

Hayes' portfolio combines cryptocurrurrencies, commodities, and defense stocks to navigate a high-inflation, high-risk environment. His strategy hinges on the belief that central banks will eventually print more money, lifting Bitcoin, gold, and hard assets together. The focus on mining, energy, and privacy-oriented crypto further reinforces this approach.

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